P22pRjR

Sky-plane uncertainty

Drawn from MPC's own variant-orbit offsets, at the same epoch as their plot. Each orbit is one solution consistent with the observations so far; the ring marks the nominal position, and the field box appears only when it is comparable in size to the cloud.

Dot size shows how many variants share a position. MPC publishes these offsets rounded to whole arcseconds, so a tightly constrained object has thousands of orbits landing on a handful of grid points — their own picture is drawn from unrounded values and looks smoother. Sizing by count puts that density back rather than stacking invisible dots. Hover any dot for its share.